Theo Capital

Intrinsic Value (FCF DCF)

DIY DCF: project FCF, add terminal value, discount back, convert EV → Equity → Intrinsic per share.

High
Bucket uses ±10% vs market price.

DIY Inputs (FCF DCF)

Tip: Keep units consistent. If you input FCF in billions, also input Net Debt in billions.

Scale: in billions
Quick sanity checks
  • Use the same scale for FCF and Net Debt (numbers vs millions vs billions).
  • Discount rate should usually be greater than long-run growth; terminal multiple should be realistic.
  • If results look absurd, check shares and scaling first.
Intrinsic value per share
$109
Equity Value / diluted shares
Over/Undervalued
-55.5%
(Intrinsic / Price) - 1
PV of forecast FCFs
$448,028,090,083
Sum of discounted FCFs (years 1..N)
PV of terminal value
$1,246,399,194,292
Discounted terminal value at year N
Enterprise value (EV)
$1,694,427,284,376
PV forecast + PV terminal
Equity value
$1,694,427,284,376
EV − Net Debt
Valuation range
Fair band: ±10% around Intrinsic
Intrinsic
Price
LowFairHigh
Low boundary
98.39
Intrinsic
109.32
High boundary
120.25
The bar is visualized over ±30% around Intrinsic (for readability).

DCF projection table

FCF is projected with constant growth during the forecast period.

YearFCFDiscount factorPV(FCF)
1$106,000,000,0000.9091$96,363,636,364
2$112,360,000,0000.8264$92,859,504,132
3$119,101,600,0000.7513$89,482,794,891
4$126,247,696,0000.6830$86,228,875,077
5$133,822,557,7600.6209$83,093,279,619
Terminal Value (undiscounted)$2,007,338,366,400
Disclaimer: This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.