Theo Capital

Theo Edge Analysis

Enter a ticker to run Theo's full five-step analysis — from business fundamentals all the way to a final investment decision.

How Theo Edge works

Theo runs five engines in sequence, each answering one question, then combines the answers into a single investment decision.

1

Reality

Scores business quality across growth, profitability, cash-flow, and capital management.

2

Expectations

Reverse-engineers what revenue, margin, and returns today's price is implicitly demanding.

3

Catalysts

Weighs near-term signals — insider trades, analyst moves — that could shift market expectations.

4

Probability

Estimates the likelihood the business beats the embedded bar, split across base, bull, and bear scenarios.

5

Decision

Compares reality vs. expectations, weighted by probability, to produce an Opportunity Score and verdict.

Disclaimer: Theo Capital provides educational analysis only. All output is generated algorithmically and reflects model estimates, not investment advice. Do not buy or sell securities based solely on this tool.

Momentum Backtest

Simulates a composite price momentum signal: 12-1 month (50%), 6-1 month (30%), and 3-1 month (20%) returns, blended and filtered by a trend-quality score that moves to cash when price action is too choppy. The “skip-1-month” convention avoids the short-term reversal effect documented in academic research. Starting capital: $10,000. Not investment advice.